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Hello I'm Kelvin Lei bold, an area Farm Management Field Specialist with Iowa State University Extension, based out in North-Central Iowa, and I'd like to put together today a series of six videos looking at Iowa Farm Leasing Arrangements. You want to get hold of me the email is probably the best way as I travel quite a bit. Agenda that I have for today is we'll have the first video here take a look at cash rental rates, second one take a look at landlord-tenant communications, third one take a look at legal issues and written leases, fourth one take a look at the update on the farm programs and what those payments mean to rental rates, the fifth one is the cost of crop production, and the last is taking a look at estimating a fair cash rental rate. Grain markets have not been kind to us in recent weeks. We have a world surplus of corn, of wheat, soybeans, and this is driven all the markets down lower. So it's a challenge for us, this is the December 2017 futures contract, so that's not the Iowa cash price, which is about thirty cents lower or more in some places. Again this is the bean chart for November 2017, taking a look at the downward turn that we've seen in prices. If Iowa corn and soybean crop looks to be good, we'll see if it actually is that good when it hits the combines, but nonetheless as we move forward here we hopefully will bottom out soon and start to rally. A lot of land in Iowa we estimate about twenty percent is owned by people who live outside the state. Of the land that is in Iowa, over half of its rented. Again, some interesting dynamics there as we take a look at trying to communicate with out-of-state landowners, or even local landowners, it creates some challenges for us. Again this map which is the 2012 Census of Ag data, the USDA shows that North-Central Iowa area that I work in, as well as Northwest Iowa being heavily composed of rented land. A large percentage of that again of course is cash rent. Well if we take a look at return to owners here, those crop share landowners participated in the rally in prices, and the rally in yields, had some pretty outstanding revenues, now they've seen those revenues decline because of declining grain prices. Yields have remained good, but prices have been a challenge. Cash rent was slower to follow up in the rally, peeked out in 2013, decline in 2014-2015 and 2016, and will decline again into 2017 the way it looks. The green dotted line refers to those that are a cash rent, but they may have some type of flex. So we estimate that about twenty percent of our leases here have some type of flex component, and that's usually based off of both price and yield, so there hasn't been any bonuses paid on those. So the flex might be based off of thirty percent of the revenue that the operation has. Again crop share has the advantage that the prices change, the revenue changes with both price and yield, the owner gets to contribute to some costs of production, whereas cash rent is...
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